Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.036263e-05 3.596002e-05 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075
2025-05-25 2.137418e-05 2.827109e-05 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000071 0.000087
2025-06-01 1.588587e-05 2.328579e-05 0.000032 0.000044 0.000059 0.000077 0.000098
2025-06-08 1.252574e-05 2.019463e-05 0.000030 0.000044 0.000062 0.000083 0.000111
2025-06-15 9.928504e-06 1.758566e-05 0.000028 0.000043 0.000064 0.000089 0.000123
2025-06-22 7.635829e-06 1.495034e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000064 0.000093 0.000132
2025-06-29 5.694629e-06 1.244296e-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000063 0.000095 0.000139
2025-07-06 4.129123e-06 1.019151e-05 0.000020 0.000037 0.000062 0.000096 0.000143
2025-07-13 3.199995e-06 8.846435e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000062 0.000099 0.000152
2025-07-20 2.545315e-06 7.865892e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000064 0.000103 0.000161
2025-07-27 2.112247e-06 7.237466e-06 0.000017 0.000036 0.000066 0.000109 0.000173
2025-08-03 2.020889e-06 7.368767e-06 0.000018 0.000039 0.000072 0.000120 0.000192
2025-08-10 1.592972e-06 6.685051e-06 0.000018 0.000040 0.000076 0.000129 0.000210
2025-08-17 9.899424e-07 5.251791e-06 0.000016 0.000037 0.000074 0.000131 0.000217
2025-08-24 6.258552e-07 4.262497e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000074 0.000134 0.000227
2025-08-31 4.222322e-07 3.658839e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000076 0.000140 0.000242
2025-09-07 2.699944e-07 3.102074e-06 0.000012 0.000035 0.000077 0.000146 0.000255
2025-09-14 1.474364e-07 2.491627e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000149 0.000265
2025-09-21 6.563819e-08 1.905258e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000075 0.000149 0.000272
2025-09-28 2.181005e-08 1.396809e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000073 0.000149 0.000276
2025-10-05 7.362160e-09 1.117702e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000153 0.000287
2025-10-12 2.050847e-09 9.244440e-07 0.000007 0.000028 0.000075 0.000158 0.000300
2025-10-19 4.899624e-10 8.075258e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000077 0.000165 0.000317